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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2025

San Antonio Spurs vs Boston Celtics

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has attempted 23.0 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

In comparison to last year's 2.9 clip, Jayson Tatum's threes converted have increased this year to 3.6 per game.

Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 35.9 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.

The Celtics are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have scored 13.0 points per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, making this a hard matchup for offensive efficiency.

The least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Celtics.

As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Celtics's feeble 17.3 free throws per game ranks worst in the league over the last 25 games.

The matchup vs. Harrison Barnes is a challenging one for drawing fouls; when facing fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted just 2.9 free throws per game (3rd percentile).

Jayson Tatum will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production across the board.

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