Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2025

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Boston Celtics · Mar 23, 2025

Updated Mar 24, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has attempted 22.5 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Compared to last year's 2.9 clip, Jayson Tatum's threes converted have jumped this year to 3.6 per game.
Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum slots into the 97th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 36.2 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
The Celtics are expected to see a rise in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Trail Blazers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 4th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The Celtics have been the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Portland is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Portland Trail Blazers are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the least FG attempts per game in the league this year (8.4).
The slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Celtics.
Jayson Tatum will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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