Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2025

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Boston Celtics · Mar 15, 2025

Updated Mar 16, 2025 1:24 AM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has made a terrific 3.6 three-point shots per game this season, significantly more than his 2.9 rate last season.
Among all players in the league, Jayson Tatum lands in the 97th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 36.3 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
The rate of treys drained against Cameron Johnson has been remarkably high (41.0%) when matched up against opposing starting PFs this year (100th percentile).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 9th-best in in the league with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Jayson Tatum has made 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Favors Under

In regard to shooting, the Celtics's poor 45.2% field goal rate when playing away from home ranks 7th-fewest in the league over the last 5 games.
This year, opposing starting PFs have compiled 14.6 points per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets, creating a difficult matchup for offensive output.
The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
The Nets have played at the slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Boston Celtics.
Jayson Tatum ought to suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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