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Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-120/-108).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Jayson Tatum has scored 32.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's scored in all games this year.Compared to last year's 2.9 mark, Jayson Tatum's threes made have spiked this year to 3.6 per game.Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum lands in the 99th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 36.5 minutes per game this year.The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise opportunities for the Celtics.The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Jayson Tatum has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.8 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home.Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have scored 11.0 points per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, resulting in a hard matchup for offensive output.The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls recently: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, averaging a mere 18.0 free throws per game.
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