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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2025

Boston Celtics vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jayson Tatum has attempted 22.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
  • Relative to last season's 8.0 rate, Jayson Tatum's shot attempts from beyond the arc have jumped this season to 10.1 per game.
  • Jayson Tatum has played 36.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.
  • This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 5.6 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Lakers, designating this as a strong matchup.
  • The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jayson Tatum has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this season at home.
  • The most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.
  • The Boston Celtics are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Lakers).
  • With respect to drawing fouls, the Celtics's subpar 18.0 free throw attempts per game ranks worst in the league over the last 25 games.
  • Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, struggling to get to the foul line.

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