Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2025

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 5, 2025

Updated Mar 5, 2025 10:54 PM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a hard one for threes; opposing starting PFs have posted the 4th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (29.6%).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
As a team, the Celtics have been bad at getting to the foul line in recent games: worst in the NBA over the last 20 games, totaling a lowly 17.8 foul shot attempts per game.
Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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