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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2025

Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum slots into the 98th percentile, tallying a colossal 25.9 points per game while on his home court this year.

Jayson Tatum has attempted 10.1 threes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 8.0 mark last season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum rates in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 36.5 minutes per game this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Boston Celtics.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 10th-best in in the league at home with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Denver is a tough one for 3-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.1).

The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games.

As a team, the Celtics have been bad at getting to the foul line in recent games: worst in the league over the last 25 games, averaging just 18.3 free throw attempts per game.

This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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