Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2025

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks · Feb 23, 2025

Updated Feb 24, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has averaged 25.2 points per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- among the best in the NBA in this category.
Jayson Tatum has attempted 10.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, significantly higher than his 8.0 rate last season.
Jayson Tatum has averaged 36.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 98th percentile.
The Boston Celtics have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 47.7% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) against the New York Knicks, marking this as a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Boston Celtics.
The Celtics will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace road offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
The Celtics check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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