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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2025

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has averaged 25.9 points per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category.

Compared to last year's 8.0 mark, Jayson Tatum's shot attempts from downtown have surged this year to 10.3 per game.

Jayson Tatum has averaged 36.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 98th percentile.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Jayson Tatum has attempted 6.2 foul shots per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Orlando is a hard one; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting team, they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1).

The slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Boston Celtics.

The Orlando Magic have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Boston Celtics.

As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a mere 19.0 free throw attempts per game.

Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.8 free throws per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Magic, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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