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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 1/7/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum slots into the 99th percentile, logging a massive 28.1 points per game this year.

Jayson Tatum has attempted 10.5 three-point shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 8.0 mark last year.

Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum comes in at the 96th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 36.1 minutes per game on the road this year.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to boost plays for the Celtics.

The Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to offense, the Celtics's subpar 46.0% field goal rate comes in as the 10th-worst in the league over the last 20 games.

The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 4th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.7).

The most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics.

This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

Jayson Tatum stands to suffer a reduction in performance for all stats due to playing away from home in this matchup.

More Jayson Tatum Player Props

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