Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2024

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 25, 2024

Updated Dec 26, 2024 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has sunk 11.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's made overall this year.
Jayson Tatum has attempted 10.7 shots from downtown per game this year, a significant increase from his 8.0 rate last year.
Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum places in the 98th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 36.4 minutes per game this year.
The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics.
The Celtics have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum comes in at the 88th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The matchup vs. the 76ers is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (11.3).
The Boston Celtics will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from sharing the court with the slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the 76ers).
As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls while at home: 3rd-worst in the league this year, totaling a measly 18.5 foul shot attempts per game.
This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.5 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the 76ers, making it tough to draw fouls.

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