Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 10/28/2024

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks · Oct 28, 2024

Updated Oct 29, 2024 12:00 AM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -101 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has scored 26.2 points per game while on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category.
Jayson Tatum has attempted 8.2 threes per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jayson Tatum has tallied 36.0 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Celtics have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.
This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 1.8 3-pointers per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Bucks, identifying this as a positive matchup.

Favors Under

The 3rd-most sluggish pace offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Boston Celtics.
As a team, the Boston Celtics have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 3rd-worst in the NBA since the start of last season with a lowly 19.5 foul shots per game.
The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (least in the NBA).

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