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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 6/12/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has attempted 21.6 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Jayson Tatum has tallied 43.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.

The matchup against the Mavericks is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the most FG attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).

The Celtics rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum ranks in the 98th percentile for free throws made, logging a monstrous 5.7 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The least up-tempo pace away team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Celtics.

The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games (the Mavericks).

As it relates to drawing fouls, the Celtics's lackluster 18.3 free throw attempts per game as the away team comes in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The matchup against Dallas is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home (3rd-least in the NBA).

Jayson Tatum will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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