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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 5/9/2024

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has tallied 26.4 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 98th percentile.

In comparison to last year's 5.9 rate, Jayson Tatum's bricked three-pointers have declined this year to 5.1 per game.

Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 35.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.

The Boston Celtics have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum has attempted 8.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have notched 13.5 points per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, creating a hard matchup for offensive production.

The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Boston Celtics.

The Boston Celtics will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 8th-most lethargic pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers).

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been bad at getting to the free-throw line in recent days: worst in the NBA over the last 15 games, totaling a lowly 16.3 free throws per game.

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