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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 5/1/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-102/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Jayson Tatum places in the 98th percentile, posting a massive 26.6 points per game when playing at home this year.

Jayson Tatum has attempted 8.2 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum measures in the 95th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 35.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on threes (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, resulting in a good matchup.

The Celtics check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Boston Celtics.

As a team, the Celtics have been bad at getting to the foul line in recent games: worst in the NBA over the last 15 games, tallying a lowly 16.3 free throw attempts per game.

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league).

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