Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2024

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks · Apr 11, 2024

Updated Apr 11, 2024 11:33 PM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-160/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum places in the 98th percentile, tallying a massive 26.9 points per game playing at home this year.
Jayson Tatum has sunk 48.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 10.2% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season while playing at home.
Jayson Tatum has tallied 34.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The matchup against New York is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the New York Knicks are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest three percentage in the league this year (47.7%).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Celtics.
The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Celtics.
As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line in recent days: worst in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying a mere 13.2 foul shot attempts per game.

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