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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 3/20/2024

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has attempted 22.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Jayson Tatum has made 4.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year.

Among all players in the league, Jayson Tatum measures in the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 34.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year.

The matchup against Milwaukee is a positive one for scoring; when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most buckets per game in the NBA this year (7.0).

The Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Boston Celtics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics.

In comparison to last year's 8.1 clip, Jayson Tatum's number of foul shots has fallen this year to 6.7 foul shots per game.

As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls of late: worst in the league over the last 20 games, drawing a measly 17.0 foul shot attempts per game.

The matchup against Milwaukee may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Bucks are the visiting team (7th-least in the NBA).

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