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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2024

Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has attempted 22.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum places in the 95th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 34.9 minutes per game at home this year.

The Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Boston Celtics are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Jayson Tatum has sunk 6.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 more than he's converted over the course of the year while at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Phoenix is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (0.9).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Celtics check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 21 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.0 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Suns, making it tough to draw fouls.

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