Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:38 AM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has successfully made 10.2 baskets per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Jayson Tatum comes in at the 97th percentile for three-point shots made, logging 3.5 per game this year.
Jayson Tatum has been on the court for 35.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 40.3% on 3-pointers (29th-best in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, designating this as a good matchup.

Favors Under

The most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Celtics.
The Celtics rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 8.1 mark, Jayson Tatum's number of free throw attempts has decreased this season to 5.7 free throw attempts per game.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (11th-lowest in the league) against the Raptors, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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