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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 5/27/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has attempted 20.7 field goals per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jayson Tatum has averaged 36.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 100th percentile.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup against the Heat is a strong one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs this year (17.9).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jayson Tatum has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.

The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.2 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the league).

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