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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has attempted 20.4 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.

Jayson Tatum has attempted 8.5 threes per game this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jayson Tatum has been on the court for 41.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 5.3 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year on the road.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.

The matchup vs. Atlanta is a favorable one for attempts from downtown; when the Hawks are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 25th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (4.8).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jayson Tatum has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.

The Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

When playing at home, the Hawks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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