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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2023

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has posted 26.6 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 98th percentile.

Jayson Tatum has successfully made 3.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season.

Jayson Tatum has been on the court for 36.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 99th percentile.

The Nets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Boston Celtics rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.

The matchup against the Nets is a difficult one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs over the last 5 games (9.2).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games at home.

The Nets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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