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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 1/24/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has averaged a whopping 31.0 points per game this season, a significant increase from his 26.6 points per game last season.

Jayson Tatum has attempted 11.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Jayson Tatum has attempted 8.6 free throws per game this year, significantly higher than his 6.4 rate last year.

Jayson Tatum has tallied 36.6 minutes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Heat is a tough one for three-pointers; playing at home, opposing teams have totaled the 2nd-least threes per game in the league this year (14.0).

The Boston Celtics have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road.

The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.

Jayson Tatum will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

More Jayson Tatum Player Props

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