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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/14/2025

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Jayson Tatum Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jayson Tatum has converted an impressive 3.6 treys per game this year, significantly more than his 2.9 mark last year.
  • Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum rates in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 36.3 minutes per game while on the road this year.
  • Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 5.5 three attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Heat, labeling this as a strong matchup.
  • The rate of 3-pointers drained against Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been remarkably high (39.0%) when squaring off against fellow starting SFs this year (93rd percentile).
  • The Celtics have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jayson Tatum has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's been called for over the course of the year.
  • The slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.
  • The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Celtics.
  • Jayson Tatum will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player production across the board.

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