Jayson Tatum Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 11:10 PM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-174).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -166 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has sunk 4.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.
Jayson Tatum has played 35.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 9.7 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (losing possessions that could otherwise result in extra opportunities for offense).
Jayson Tatum will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Jayson Tatum has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (94th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 13th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.6).
The 7th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics.
The Celtics will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 7th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).