Jayson Tatum Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-154/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has successfully made 3.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
Jayson Tatum has tallied 36.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 99th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a good one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 26th-highest three rate in the league this year (36.0%).
The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Trail Blazers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jayson Tatum has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

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