Jayson Tatum Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2025

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 8, 2025

Updated Mar 9, 2025 5:00 AM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has posted 7.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's posted overall this season.
Jayson Tatum has played 36.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jayson Tatum ought to see an increase in output for all stats in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Jayson Tatum has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this season at home.
The most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Lakers).

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