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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Assists
Player Prop - 12/15/2023

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic

Jayson Tatum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has totaled 4.2 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 86th percentile.

Jayson Tatum has tallied 35.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 97th percentile.

The Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Magic).

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have captured 9.3 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra opportunities for offense).

Jayson Tatum will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually boosts player production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jayson Tatum has averaged 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.

The 4th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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