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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Assists
Player Prop - 5/25/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Jayson Tatum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has averaged 4.7 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- among the league's hottest by this metric over this stretch of games.

Jayson Tatum has tallied 36.6 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

Without the home court advantage, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jayson Tatum has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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