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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Assists
Player Prop - 4/7/2023

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors

Jayson Tatum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has posted 4.6 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 89th percentile.

Jayson Tatum has tallied 36.7 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

While on the road, the Raptors have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boosts player performance for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jayson Tatum has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to getting T'ed up.

The Raptors have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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