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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Assists
Player Prop - 1/24/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Jayson Tatum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jayson Tatum has tallied 5.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
  • Jayson Tatum has tallied 36.6 minutes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • The Heat have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to the other team this year (which also lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jayson Tatum has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (96th percentile).
  • The Boston Celtics have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
  • The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.
  • Jayson Tatum will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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