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Jaylin Williams

Jaylin Williams Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Jaylin Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jaylin Williams slots into the 89th percentile for 3-point efficiency while on the road with an exceptional 44.4% rate this year.
  • The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 8th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
  • The clash with Daniel Gafford as it relates to getting to the charity stripe ranks in only the 83rd percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a monstrous 3.4 free throws per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jaylin Williams has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for overall this year.
  • The rate of three-point shots converted against Daniel Gafford has been remarkably low (19.4%) when he is at home and guarding opposing starting Cs this year (13th percentile).
  • The Thunder check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylin Williams places in the 6th percentile for getting to the foul line, posting a mere 0.0 free throws per game while playing away from home this year.
  • Jaylin Williams will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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