Jaylin Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2024

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Jaylin Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jaylin Williams

F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · May 9, 2024

Updated May 10, 2024 1:31 AM EST

Analysis

Jaylin Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaylin Williams has made 64.6% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 20.8% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
Jaylin Williams has sunk 54.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games at home, 16.1% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year on his home court.
With respect to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's stellar 122.3 points per game playing at home ranks 2nd-best in the NBA this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Jaylin Williams will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually improves stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Jaylin Williams has averaged a mere 13.0 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 19.1 minutes per game last season.
The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Jaylin Williams rates in the 23rd percentile for getting to the foul line, tallying a measly 0.5 foul shot attempts per game while on his home court this year.

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