Jaylin Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jaylin Williams

F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 1:41 AM EST

Analysis

Jaylin Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaylin Williams has sunk 37.2% of his 3-point attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Pelicans may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a colossal 4.1 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (26th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a challenging one for threes; when the Pelicans are on their home court, opposing starting Cs have compiled the 9th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (25.4%).
The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.
Jaylin Williams has successfully made 65.0% of his free throws since the start of last season, ranking him in the 15th percentile out of all players in the league.
Jaylin Williams will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.