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Jaylin Williams

Jaylin Williams Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jaylin Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylin Williams has sunk 38.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc since the start of last season, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league.

The matchup against the Suns is a strong one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled the 21st-most three attempts per game in the league this year (1.7).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Suns may be a strong one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a massive 4.3 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (21st-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Suns have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Thunder.

The Suns have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaylin Williams has converted 61.8% of his foul shots since the start of last season, putting him in the 10th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jaylin Williams will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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