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Jaylin Williams

Jaylin Williams Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jaylin Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylin Williams has successfully made 51.9% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 17.4% more than he's made from downtown overall this year.

This matchup is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Warriors are at home, opposing squads have posted the 3rd-highest three percentage in the NBA against them this year (32.5%).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road.

The Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should raise possessions for the Thunder.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylin Williams has been on the court for 13.2 minutes per game this year, riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA: 24th percentile.

The matchup vs. Golden State is a hard one; when the Warriors are at home, they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs over the last 15 games (14.6).

When playing at home, the Warriors have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Jaylin Williams has converted 45.0% of his free throws without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 5th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line in recent games: 4th-worst in the league over the last 10 games, totaling just 20.2 foul shots per game.

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