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Jaylen Wells

Jaylen Wells Points
Player Prop - 4/3/2025

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies

Jaylen Wells Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+108/-138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Wells has attempted 5.0 treys per game this year, placing him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

This year, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 12.2 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, identifying this as a good matchup.

The matchup against Pelle Larsson is a favorable one for threes; when Larsson is on his home court fellow starting SFs this year, they have sunk a whopping 44.2% of their shots from downtown (100th percentile).

The fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.

The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Wells has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's committed overall this year.

The Grizzlies will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Heat).

Jaylen Wells will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

More Jaylen Wells Player Props

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