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Jaylen Nowell

Jaylen Nowell Points
Player Prop - 2/7/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jaylen Nowell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

This matchup is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing clubs have tallied the 7th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (86.5).

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Timberwolves.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Nowell has successfully made 26.0% of his three-point shots this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile among all players in the league.

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Playing at home, the Nuggets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Nowell has failed to convert 1.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's missed over the course of the season when playing away from home.

The matchup against the Nuggets may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a measly 25.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games when the Nuggets are on their home court (9th-least in the league).

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