Jaylen Nowell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Jaylen Nowell

NBA · Player Props

Jaylen Nowell

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Nowell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaylen Nowell has attempted 11.1 shots per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile among all players in the league.
Jaylen Nowell has attempted 4.7 three-point shots per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a good one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have averaged the 8th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (11.7).

Favors Under

Jaylen Nowell has averaged 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games while at home, 0.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season at home.
The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a challenging one; they have allowed the 9th-least points per game in the league to opposing squads since the start of last season while playing away from home (114.8).
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Trail Blazers.

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