Jaylen Nowell Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jaylen Nowell

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 19, 2023

Updated Apr 20, 2023 2:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaylen Nowell Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaylen Nowell has made 1.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year when playing on the road.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to three-point attempts.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for three-pointers; the other team have compiled the lowest three rate in the league this year (34.2%).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.

Favors Under

Jaylen Nowell has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.1 higher than he's committed in all games this season on the road.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Jaylen Nowell will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production across the board.