Jaylen Nowell Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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Jaylen Nowell

NBA · Player Props

Jaylen Nowell

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Nowell Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA at home this year.
The matchup against the Jazz is a good one for three-pointers; opposing teams have averaged the most three-pointers per game in the league this year (11.0).
Jaylen Nowell will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jaylen Nowell has made a measly 26.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, significantly less than his 40.4 rate last year.
Jaylen Nowell has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (84th percentile).
The Jazz have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year on their home court (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season without the home court advantage, which should decrease plays for the Jazz.

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