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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Steals
Player Prop - 4/2/2025

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Jaylen Brown Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-240).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -235 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has posted 2.2 steals per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's posted in all games this year at home.

Jaylen Brown has tallied 34.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 95th percentile.

Jaylen Brown will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).

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