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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 12/19/2025

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-123/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Brown has notched 33.2 points per game over the last 5 games while at home, 3.5 more than he's notched over the course of the year at home.
  • The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Heat are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).
  • The Celtics are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace team in the league this year (the Heat).
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a colossal 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.
  • As a team, the Boston Celtics have been bad at drawing fouls: worst in the NBA this year, averaging a mere 19.2 free throw attempts per game.

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