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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 5/7/2025

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown lands in the 95th percentile for field goals sunk, putting up a colossal 8.2 per game this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown measures in the 94th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 34.6 minutes per game this year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 48.0% on three-pointers (best in the NBA) against the Knicks, marking this as a good matchup.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 4th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Jaylen Brown has made 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown rates in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.3 fouls per game playing at home this year.

The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.

The Knicks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Boston Celtics.

As it relates to getting to the free-throw line, the Celtics's lackluster 19.6 foul shots per game rates worst in the NBA this year.

The matchup against New York may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Knicks are the visiting team (7th-least in the NBA).

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