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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 5/5/2025

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has successfully made 49.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 13.5% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season on his home court.

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 34.4 minutes per game this year.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 48.0% on threes (best in the league) against the Knicks, identifying this as a strong matchup.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 5th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Jaylen Brown has sunk 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown rates in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.3 fouls per game on his home court this year.

The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league this year.

The Boston Celtics are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league this year (the New York Knicks).

In terms of getting to the foul line, the Celtics's lackluster 19.5 foul shot attempts per game settles in as the worst in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. New York may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Knicks are away from home (7th-least in the league).

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