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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2025

Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown registers in the 95th percentile for shots taken, compiling 18.1 per game this year.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 5.8 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 86th percentile among all players in the league.

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 34.8 minutes per game this year.

The matchup against Phoenix is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the 8th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (41.1%).

The Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The slowest pace team in the league this year has been the Boston Celtics.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Boston Celtics.

With respect to getting to the foul line, the Boston Celtics's feeble 19.5 foul shots per game rates worst in the league this year.

Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Suns, struggling to get to the foul line.

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