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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2025

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown registers in the 95th percentile for shots taken, posting 18.1 per game this year.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 5.8 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 86th percentile among all players in the league.

Jaylen Brown has tallied 34.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 95th percentile.

The matchup against the Heat is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).

The Boston Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Boston Celtics check in as the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.

The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).

The matchup vs. Miami may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Miami Heat are on the road (4th-least in the NBA).

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