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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 3/12/2025

Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted 21.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 2.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 6.1 threes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among all players in the league.

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 35.4 minutes per game this year.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 25.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-worst in the NBA) against the Thunder, resulting in a challenging matchup.

The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls recently: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, averaging a mere 18.0 free throws per game.

Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Thunder, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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