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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2025

Boston Celtics vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Brown has successfully made 44.1% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.5% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year while on his home court.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 35.3 minutes per game this year.
  • This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 5.8 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Lakers, resulting in a favorable matchup.
  • The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Jaylen Brown has converted 87.6% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 13.8% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown registers in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
  • The most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.
  • The Boston Celtics are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Lakers).
  • With respect to drawing fouls, the Celtics's subpar 18.0 free throw attempts per game ranks worst in the league over the last 25 games.
  • Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Lakers, making it tough to draw fouls.

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