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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2025

Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Brown has made 53.1% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 6.2% more than he's sunk in all games this year.
  • Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 35.1 minutes per game this year.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Boston Celtics.
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 10th-best in in the league at home with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
  • Jaylen Brown has made 94.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 20.4% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown places in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.5 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
  • Over the last 25 games, the opposition's starting SGs have posted 15.6 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a challenging matchup for offensive output.
  • The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games.
  • As a team, the Celtics have been bad at getting to the foul line in recent games: worst in the league over the last 25 games, averaging just 18.3 free throw attempts per game.

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